Wednesday, December 23, 2009

Switching to teaser Home Loan – Does it make sense?

I purchased a Residential property in Ranchi in June 2009 worth Rs. 20 lakhs taking a Home loan of Rs. 15.6 Lakh from LIC Housing Finance @ 8.75% p.a. for 12 years. A few days back I received a letter from LIC saying the rates have been increased to 10% effective November 2009. Due to this my tenure has increased by 18 months.
So with so much promotional teaser Home Loans going in the market, does it make sense for me to switch. I did some calculation for the same which I would be presenting in the post for your valuable comments and feedback.

Present Loan Details
Loan Taken
Rs. 1,560,000
Tenure
144
Interest Rate
9%
EMI
17,534
Since my EMI due date is 7th of each month I would be paying my January 2010 installment too before switching. So I did all my calculation based on what would I gain if I switch by February 2010.
January 2010 Situation
Principal Repaid
Rs. 32,797
Outstanding Principal
Rs. 1,527,203
New Interest Rate
10%
No. of EMI Left
156
Prepayment Penalty
2%

Teasers Loans under Consideration
I did analysis for 2 switching options:
  1. Bank of Rajasthan Home Loan
  2. LIC Fix-O-Float Home Loan
Option 1:
Bank of Rajasthan Home Loan Scheme Details
Year 1
7.50%
Year 2
8.50%
Year 3
9.00%
Processing Fee
1%
This I found is the best teaser rate going in the market. The Loans Repayment are so designed that in initial years most of your EMI goes into serving the interest component and so very little principal repayment happen.
Like in my case I have paid Rs. 115301 in all & the Loan outstanding has reduced by only Rs. 32797. So essentially 72% of my repayments till now have gone in serving interest. So having low interest in initial years helps.

Option 2:
LIC Fix-O-Float Home Loan Scheme Details
Year 1
8.90%
Year 2
8.90%
Year 3
8.90%
Processing Fee
Rs. 7,500
Though this is not the best option still I am considering this as I can switch to this anytime I want without any hassles.

Cost of Switching
Prepayment charge = 2% of 1527203 = Rs. 30544
Processing charge for Bank of Rajasthan = Rs. 15272
Processing charge for LIC Fix-O-Float = Rs. 7500
Total Cost of Switching
Rs.
Bank of Rajasthan
45,816
LIC Fix-O-Float
38,044

Assumptions:
Since the Home Loan is a fast changing product we need to make certain assumptions for the future interest rates.
1. Here I assume that the interest rate would be 10% after 3 years for all the Loans.
2. If I switch my loan then I would invest the EMI difference in some Long term Instrument like Mutual Fund, Stocks which would give me a return of 10% per annum.
3. I need to calculate present value of all the future gains – So for this I take the discount rate equal to long term inflation rate of 6%

Calculating Switching Gains
Now the question is how much would I gain if I switch to either option? There are two ways of calculating this.
In First case I can keep the number of EMIs same for all loans and then the difference in EMI would be my gain.
In second case I can pay same amount of EMI for all loans & see how much less number of EMIs I need to pay.
For simplicity I have shown only the first case. The results of both are almost similar.

Here I keep the loan tenure uniform for all the loans & see the difference in EMI for entire tenure. Then I would calculate the present value of EMI difference throughout the tenure. So here goes my first calculation table:
EMI Tenure
EMI Amount
Difference in EMI
Value of EMI Difference Invested @ 10%p.a. till end of loan
Present Loan
LIC Fix-O-Float
Bank of Rajasthan
LIC
BOR
LIC
BOR
1
17,534
16,554
15,354
980
2,180
7,890
3,529
2
17,534
16,554
15,354
980
2,180
7,825
3,483
3
17,534
16,554
15,354
980
2,180
7,760
3,437
4
17,534
16,554
15,354
980
2,180
7,696
3,391
5
17,534
16,554
15,354
980
2,180
7,633
3,347
6
17,534
16,554
15,354
980
2,180
7,570
3,303
7
17,534
16,554
15,354
980
2,180
7,507
3,259
8
17,534
16,554
15,354
980
2,180
7,445
3,216
9
17,534
16,554
15,354
980
2,180
7,384
3,173
10
17,534
16,554
15,354
980
2,180
7,322
3,132
11
17,534
16,554
15,354
980
2,180
7,262
3,090
12
17,534
16,554
15,354
980
2,180
7,202
3,049
13
17,534
16,554
16,152
980
1,382
4,528
3,009
35
17,534
16,554
16,152
980
1,382
3,772
2,247
36
17,534
16,554
16,152
980
1,382
3,741
2,217
37
17,534
17,344
17,215
190
319
856
424
155
17,534
17,344
17,215
190
319
322
88
156
16,253
17,344
17,311
-1,091
-1,058
-1,058
-501
Total Gains at end of 156 months (A)
126,682
253,406
Switching Cost I need to pay right now (B)
38,044
45,816
Had I not switched I would have invested switching amount @ 10% p.a.
So switching amount value at end of 156 months (C)
138,845
167,209
Net Gains at end of 156 months (A - C)
-12,163
86,197
Present value of Net Gains discounting @ 6% p.a.
-5,586
39,590
I have not shown the calculation for all 156 months to avoid clutter.
So we can see I would gain around Rs. 40 thousand if I switch to Bank of Rajasthan but loose around Rs. 5.5 Thousand if I switch to LIC Fix-O-Float.

Some caveats
  1. I have considered interest rate to be constant @ 10% p.a. for my present loan which might not be the case. Going forward I think this is going to increase.
  2. The assumption that after 3 years all the 3 loans under consideration would have same interest rate seems difficult.

Final Verdict
So what’s the conclusion? Would I switch my loan? I think I would like to switch to Bank of Rajasthan Home Loan if I get the offer. Beside the Rs. 40 thousand saved, it has other benefits too. One being that it seems like step-up loan where you pay more amount as EMI as the tenure increases. And I being a salaried person I can assume my income would increase going forward. So my burden of EMI reduces. The second being no fluctuating EMIs for next 3 years.
But it would involve doing the home loan process from scratch. Moreover I live in Delhi & the loan is in Ranchi. This would mean additional cost in the form of paperwork, traveling, taking off from office & doing the running around. I am going to Ranchi tomorrow on holiday, so I would see if the switching is easy. If it involves more than one return trip probably I would not be switching.
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3 comments:

  1. Hi,

    Please check, for some reason, I m not receiving feeds on my google reader.

    Regards
    Yogesh Tiwari

    ReplyDelete
  2. Hi Amit, I am wondering why LICHFL raised your interest rate to 10% in the first place. I have a loan from LIC for 25 lacs at 8.75% and I availed it in May 2009. So its about the same time as you. So wondering what could the reason?

    ReplyDelete
  3. @ Simon
    I had read the agreement while taking the loan and it clearly mentioned that the interest rate would be revised in 3 months. Actually 8.75% was teaser rate for 3 months.
    I don't know why LICHFL didn't increase your interest rate. Just check with your branch but if they didn't you are lucky :)

    ReplyDelete